Your Entire Trading Strategy May Be Based on a Lie

Over the past week, we’ve been tracking the biggest errors traders are making – like neglecting earnings reports and jumping out of trades before expiration.

However, the most damaging offenses stem from a certain myth that’s being fed to traders – especially newer traders.

I’m even willing to bet that you heard it when you started trading, too.

And you might have centered your entire trading methodology on it.

But here’s the thing…

Even if it seems like what you heard is paying off, it will eventually hurt you – and your pockets.

You could already be “shorting” yourself on hundreds of thousands of dollars because of it.

Now my original plan for today was to talk about a special technique to play the bullish rally we’ve seen so far this month.

But we just can’t afford to wait until next week to talk about this…

So let’s get started.

A “Good” Trade Does NOT Have to be a Winning Trade

As a trader, you will constantly evaluate your success. To be quite honest with you, this is something you’ll do this after pretty much every trade.

Each time you close a position, you will almost always feel inclined to judge whether it was a “good” trade or not.

And while this may not sound like it’s a bad thing, here’s the problem…

There’s a long withstanding myth out there that a winning trade is a “good trade,” and a losing trade is a “bad” trade.

This destructive thinking has led nine out of every ten traders deep into the red zone within their first 12 months of trading.

What’s even worse is that it’s become the barometer that traders use to base their trading strategies on.

And I just don’t want to see you join this statistic… especially with the huge profit opportunities the markets have been handing us for the past couple weeks.

So what is a “good” trade?

Let me run a couple of scenarios by you to offer some perspective…

Scenario 1: stock moves down and you “stop out” with a 50% loss

In this case, you buy a call option for $4.00 ($400 for one contract) less fees and commissions. You anticipate that the stock will move higher and plan to close your position out for a double (a 100% return on investment).

And in the event that this move doesn’t happen…. well, you covered yourself by entering the order as good-til-cancelled – and with a stop in place at 50% of the option’s value of the option. So no matter what happens, you’ve got a plan in place to preserve at least half of your money.

The stock moves down, dropping the total value of the option from $4.00 to $2.00, flagging your good-til-cancelled and stop orders. Your position gets closed at $2.00 – giving you a loss of $200.

Out of curiosity, you decide to check on that stock a few days later to see what happened after your position was closed. Fortunately, you got out when you did because it ended up falling all the way to zero. This means that if you had held on to that position, your contract would have become worthless – and cost you the entire $400.

So you breathe a sigh of relief and feel kind-of happy that you got at least half of your money back instead of losing it all.

Scenario 2: stock goes up and you hit a double

In this case, you buy a call option for $4.00 ($400 for one contract). You anticipate that the stock will move higher and plan to close your position out for a double.

The stock moves in your favor, and you reach the double. So you decide to close out your position and pocket the profits.

Out of curiosity, you decide to check on that stock a few days later to see what happened after your position was closed. But the stock actually continued to move higher to the point that – had you stayed in the trade- you could’ve closed out your position for four times the profit.

At the time you closed your position, you felt GREAT… but after seeing the profits that you missed out on, you now feel pretty upset.

So which of these scenarios is the “good” trade?

This is actually a trick question…

The answer is both.

Now according to this myth we talked about above, the “good” trade should be the winning trade – scenario two.

But here’s why we’re debunking this today…

Both scenarios are actually “good” trades because of one key element: discipline.

In both cases, you came up with a game plan, executed it, and stuck to it.

And although you lost money in the first scenario, the discipline you applied to your trade saved you from losing 100% of the money you spent on it.

In the second scenario, the discipline you applied to your trade doubled your money. Sure, you may have missed out on four times the profit…. but had you not exercised discipline, the stock could’ve moved the opposite way – handing you a 100% loss.

So the next time you’re judging your trades, forget this nonsense that a “good” trade is a winning trade… because at the end of the day, it’s about being a good trader.

And being a good trader starts with discipline.

Good Trading,

Tom Gentile