Newton Was Wrong… What Goes Up Doesn’t Always Come Down

As a novice trader back in the late ’80s, I used to sit with my Compaq computer in the loft of my small New Jersey home house in New Jersey when I first discovered charting patterns and indicators.

I also spent quite a bit of time in front of the TV watching then-called FNN (now CNBC). And the most popular trading “mantra” then was: buy low and sell high.

You may have heard this…

But I learned quickly that this doesn’t always hold true.

Actually, quite the opposite.

Here’s why…

Stocks At (Or Near) Their 52-Week Highs Are Actually Worthy Buys

Wiliam O’Neil, editor of Investor’s Business Daily, is known to be a bit of a “maverick” in the markets for what some consider to be his unconventional trading methodologies. And one of his philosophies in particular makes much more sense than you may think…

 “Buy high and sell higher.”

In the financial markets, it’s true that stocks moving higher in price may come down – but they don’t necessarily come ALL the way back down. Although they may retrace a bit, there are some sound growth stocks out there. These stocks have made investors so much money that they’re considered to be “the darlings” of the markets (we’ll take a look at those in a little bit).

We’ll take a look at those in a little bit. First, let’s see where O’Neil’s way of thinking comes into play…

Stocks that reach new 52-week (or all-time) highs can be scary for some investors because they think the only direction to move from there is lower. They think that they need to seel their positions to lock in the incredible profits they’ve made before the stock starts falling.

But investors’ faith in the viability of a company continues to grow right along with that company’s profits – especially if it pays dividends. And as investors keep accumulating that company’s stock to capture those profits, the stock price gets pushed higher and higher (even after a pullback).

Now I’ve got my own proprietary analysis software that’s an incredible workhorse for finding and analyzing stocks and exchange traded funds (ETFs) that offer the best options trading opportunities. My tools also find those stocks at or near their 52-week highs.

In fact, my Money Calendar Alert members recently had the opportunity to capture over 176% gains – all on another stock ticking toward its 52-week high, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE: DIA).

[Editor’s Note: To find out more about how you can profit from Tom’s Money Calendar Alert, click here.]

And these are the 24 stocks I see that that are at or over 70% of their 52-week highs…

PPT-chart

When looking at the top five on under the “High Price” and “Low Price” columns, you can see the same two stocks within the same health care sector, Becton, Dickinson and Company (NYSE: BDX) and Varian Medical Systems, Inc. (NYSE: VAR).

The other three stocks that made the top five fall within the advertising services, technologu, and financial sectors, Omnicom Group, Inc. (NYSE: OMC), Technology with EMC Corporation (NYSE: EMC) and a Financial sector stock, specific to Accident and Health Insurance with Assurant, Inc. (NYSE: AIZ). Now all of these stocks (with the exception of EMC) are not only trading at 52-week but are also at or near their all-time highs.

Keep in mind that you don’t want to own too many stocks within the same sector. If that sector (say housing) hits a bad spell – and all you’ve got are stocks within that sector – you’ve put your entire account at risk. Something you can do to prevent that from happening is diversifying your portfolio by industry.

And remember, the markets are everything that you don’t expect, and then some…

Buying high may not sound like a safe strategy, but when you look at the stocks that are approaching their yearly highs, one thing is evident… they didn’t get there because of good looks. They got there because, whether fundamentally, technically, or seasonally, they deserved higher stock prices.

And if the trend is your friend (which is upward right now), chances are those high flyers will deliver more returns than some low priced, down-trending stock.

Here’s Your Trading Lesson Summary

You may have been taught to buy stocks at low prices and sell them at higher prices. That’s how you make money in the markets, right? But although it may seem to defy all laws of logic, buying high and selling higher is an even better way to maximize your profits on stocks trading at (or near) their 52-week highs.

Good Trading,

Tom Gentile

One Response to “Newton Was Wrong… What Goes Up Doesn’t Always Come Down”

  1. Tom I get what you’re saying. On the other hand, the higher it goes, the farther it falls. Stock values may continue to rise for awhile, but as so many MMP writers have said (including yourself), stock prices continue defy logic and are rising in spite of bad news and weak fundamentals. However, there is comfort knowing that whether we’re in a strong or weak market, your daily and weekly alerts are as close as one can get to the leading edge.

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