Month: October 2016

This “Old School” (and Really Accurate) Indicator Says the Economy’s Hitting the Brakes

Nowadays, financial news networks spend endless hours of programming around every upcoming jobs and GDP report they can get their hands on.

But only a few of them are actually worth paying attention to – and basing your trading decisions around.

Last Friday, for example, I told you how quarterly earnings reports could confirm the likelihood of another recession by March 2017.

And today, I’m going to give you another indicator that the richest traders use. It’s the “old school” way to know exactly how the economy is doing (in real time) without even turning on your TV.

It tells you whether the U.S. economy is speeding up or slowing down… and that shows you when to set your bullish and bearish trades.

This method dates all the way back to the 1800s.

And it’s as easy as looking out your window…

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The Truth about the “Secret” Currency That Could Replace the U.S. Dollar

With the exception of Wells Fargo (for obvious reasons) and basket-case Deutsche Bank, earnings for the “big banks” have actually been pretty good this quarter.

But they’ve got a much bigger problem right now. According to New York Fed economists, large banks have over $140 billion invested in bad energy loans stemming from the oil crash. And they could be facing astronomical losses.

So it seems as though it’s only a matter of time before the banks go to Hades in a handbasket – and take the rest of the stock market with them.

Now there’s a camp of people who will tell you about a new “cash alternative” that’s the best safe haven for your money.

It hasn’t been fully embraced (yet), but it’s already being called the “new world currency.”

In the past 12 months alone, its transaction volume has increased by 110%.

It’s got the potential to become an $8.2 trillion industry.

But before you ditch your gold bars…

You’ll want to read this first.

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The Shocking Reason Economists’ “Recession Cries” May Be Right This Time

Just after the first Fed meeting back in January, Financial Times Magazine surveyed 51 economists about the likelihood of another recession. According to them, there’s a 15% chance of the next recession hitting within two years and a 20% chance of the next recession hitting within 12 months.

But these “predictions” aren’t new. And they’re not because of the election, either.

Even in March, Bloomberg interviewed Jim Rogers, George Soros’ former business partner. Rogers also called for a recession to hit within the next year – which only gives us until March 2017. Now one of the many reasons behind his “forecast” is that the U.S. sees a recession every four to seven years – and it’s been nearly a decade since the last one.

The thing is… predictions such as these happen like (broken) clockwork, every single year.

But this time, they may have actually nailed it.

And this is the shocking reason why…

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One Number Tells You if the “Black Sheep” of Smartphones is Really Making a Comeback

When following the news over these past several weeks, you’d think that Apple and Samsung are the only companies out there making cell phones.

But before the iPhone and Galaxy Note 7 rolled out, there was another provider dominating the smartphone world that’s not quite “dead” yet…

I’m talking about BlackBerry.

Now I know what you’re probably thinking… but hang on a second.

Yes, they’re losing money year after year. And you probably haven’t seen anyone using a BlackBerry in a long time.

But they’re establishing a new identity, with a new source of revenue.

And whether or not they succeed depends on this one number…

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The Truth Behind Netflix’s Earnings Beat – and Why the Good News Won’t Last…

When Netflix, Inc. (NasdaqGS: NFLX) shares jumped some 20% after its earnings beat, CNBC’s Closing Bell invited Tom to tell them what, exactly, happened.

In this video, Tom explains how Netflix beat everyone’s expectations – analysts, options traders, and everyone else – but also why it might not last…

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Three Big Banks Release Earnings Tomorrow – Here’s How Their Stocks Will Move

Friday’s a big day for the banks (three, specifically) because earnings come out before the markets even open.

The pundits are already calling for weak earnings numbers for all three, largely due to the Fed’s decision against raising interest rates.

Now whether or not they’re right is anyone’s guess – at least, until Friday.

But you don’t have to wait until then to get a read on how much these stocks will move…

There’s a simple method you can use to predict the price movement of a stock before its earnings even come out.

And it’s as easy as this…

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How Sunday’s Presidential Debate Could Drive This One Industry to its 18th Straight Record High

At least 84 million people are waiting anxiously to see what’s in store for the second presidential debate this Sunday.

But what I really want to see is what they do after.

That’s because I’ve been watching a pattern that forms during election years, and it’s driven one industry, in particular, to all-time highs 18 months in a row.

This pattern doesn’t care about who’s running or what their chances of winning are, either…

It only cares about the election itself – and how people are responding.

And with just 30 days left until Election Day, it’s only getting stronger.

So now’s your best time to profit.

Here’s how…

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How to Shield Your Portfolio Using Nothing But Your “Collar” (Starting Today)

Last week, I showed you two ways to make money when interest rates go up.

The first offers the potential for unlimited gains.

The second allows you to buy expensive stock without risking all of your money to do so.

Both of these are great ideas, but readers have been asking why you can’t have both.

You can.

And all you need is your “collar…”

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Between Verizon and Yahoo!, This is the Stock You Want to Put Your Money On

A few months ago, Verizon announced its plans to buy the once-thriving Internet giant, Yahoo!, in a $4.8 billion deal.

But this was well before we found out that Yahoo! fell victim to the worst data breach in history, with 500 million email addresses, passwords, birth dates, security questions, and security answers stolen. And there’s strong evidence suggesting that Yahoo! knew about it long before the Verizon deal was ever made.

Since then, Verizon has gone mute on the status of the deal. Even the CEO of Verizon-owned AOL, Tim Armstrong, has been ducking questions about how the hack could affect this deal.

Now, with all this uncertainty about the future of the deal, investors everywhere are asking whether or they should buy Verizon Communications, (NYSE: VZ) or sell Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO).

And the answer is…


Here’s why.

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